Wednesday, May 30, 2012

Egypt Election: Officially Unsatisfactory to Many




As soon as the election results were confirmed, a couple hundred protestors were in Tahrir Square.  Within hours, a few hundred became nearly a thousand and half the group split off to go to the nearby campaign office of Ahmed Shafiq (one of the runoff candidates) and began to ransack the office, throwing out files and computers in the streets, before setting the garage of the building on fire.  While authorities put out the blaze before too much damage was done, many protestors continued to watch and chant against the candidacy of the former Mubarak era Prime Minister.

Meanwhile, protestors continued to grow in Tahrir Square--not just against Shafiq, but also against the other candidate.  The Muslim Brotherhood's Freedom and Justice Party saw their "spare tire" also advance to the runoff election.  American educated Dr. Mohamed Morsy was not the party's first choice, but their well-mobilized support base gave enough votes to help the candidate not only advance, but also to lead all candidates in the May 22-23 election.

Now its time for the runoff between Shafiq and Morsy on June 16 and 17.

Now its time to make a choice between two candidates that few are happy about.

Welcome to democracy.

Shafiq: why not and why?
Shafiq represents the old Mubarak regime; his appointment to Prime Minister was one of Mubarak's last official acts of power during the revolution last year.  As an Air Force officer, he also has strong ties to the military that have not been as favorably viewed during this long interim government led by the military known as SCAF (Supreme Council of the Armed Forces).  So, to have a revolution more than a year ago and end up with one of the former government leaders as a choice for the new President is appalling--some even saying blasphemous to the blood of the revolution's martyrs.  Shafiq has been obstinately opposed throughout this new democratic process.

Yet, here he is, a candidate for the Presidency--why?  Well, the love of the military in Egypt is still strong; those supporting the military feel that they are not government puppets (they are not allowed to vote), and they are the only ones who can really protect the country.  Shafiq was the big winner in areas where security is a concern--even if they mostly conservative Muslim provinces.  Also, much to the dismay of the young revolutionaries, there are a number of older and educated Egyptians that do not feel that the revolution has led to any good.  In fact, there are many that even though  they participated or who were pro-revolution a year and half ago, are now wondering whether or not the country is any better.  The economy is way down, unemployment is way up, tourism is nearly nonexistent, international relations are deteriorating, etc. -- for those that have been worrying about this, perhaps someone who represents what was may be the best choice.

Morsy: why not and why?
The big why not is simply in his representation of the Muslim Brotherhood's Freedom and Justice Party.  This party dominates the recently elected Parliament, and many feel that the Parliament has not accomplished anything in their first few months of power; to be fair, who could?  There is no President, no constitution, and the leadership of the country is really under the temporary rule of the military.  The Muslim Brotherhood, by virtue of their overwhelming presence in the Parliament, were also the dominant presence on the Constituent Committee charged with drafting the new Constitution--that committee had to be disbanded due to infighting and so many resigning with accusations that the Brotherhood was dominating the discussions and decisions.  Also working against Morsy is the reversal of the Brotherhood's initial statements that they would not field a candidate for President--when they changed their mind, many Egyptians cried "foul".  It was even suggested during the initial returns of election results that Morsy and the Brotherhood should honor this commitment not to run for the Presidency and therefore withdraw before the results became official so that Shafiq would have to run against the leading Revolutionary candidate Hamdeeen Sabahi.  Of course, with the smell of potential victory and power, the Freedom and Justice Party scoffed at this idea.

The Brotherhood have had a strong, well-organized political arm for years, so they seemed to have the tools necessary to mobilize voters to get their candidate into this round.  The Brotherhood knows that if they were running against one of the Revolutionary candidates, they would be facing an uphill battle; but, the failure of the revolutionary candidates to come together split the vote so that Morsy could be in this position.  The Brotherhood recognizes their polarizing affect, and have been proactively attempting to build bridges and offer appointments in a new government to former political rivals in an effort to garner enough support to get Morsy elected to the Presidency; however, they have not found any former candidate or group willing to join their concession efforts.

Their biggest ally has now come out of the former embittered rival, the Salafi Nour Party.  The Nour Party bumpy history;  the Nour Party has reached out to the Brotherhood repeatedly, only to be rejected and treated as "second-rate".  When both the Nour Party and the Brotherhood had their initial candidates disqualified, the Nour Party attempted to work with the Brotherhood so not to split the Islamic vote; however, they were rejected by the Brotherhood and had to find their own candidate to back.  But now, the Nour Party has officially said, "it's a matter of religion, not politics", and so, they will be backing Morsy and the "Islam is the Answer" platform that the Brotherhood have been promoting all along.


On the outside of these political decisions, it's been interesting to observe.  The revolutionaries have cried out for democracy, but within a democracy all opinions are heard and the majority rules--yet, the majority has chosen candidates that they do not want to accept.  Some have said, as in the video, let Parliament make a law banning former regime officials and their ideals so they can't be permitted.  Such outcries are no longer cries for democracy, but censorship.  You don't have to agree with the Brotherhood, but you have to admire what they've done--in a new democracy, they understood majority rules and the need to build bridges--they built just enough to get through the first round, and they're hoping to do so again and get into the Presidency.  The strong support for Shafiq across Egypt further indicates that there is quite a diversity of opinion when it comes to what's best for Egypt's future.

As protestors continue to gather in Tahrir yet again, the present is uncertain.  The gathering mobs are angry and confused.  Only 46% of Egypt's population voted in the first election; now with a difficult choice, not as many are expected to vote in the final election in just over 3 weeks.  If such a minority participate and elect one of these polarizing figures to be Egypt's next President--what will the unhappy majority do?

Continue to pray for Egypt...


Sunday, May 27, 2012

In Other News: Part 3 of 3, Ashton Kutcher in Space


The drama and official results of Egypt’s first democratic election are still ongoing, and we’ll return with more specifics as announcements are made later this week regarding potential candidates for a runoff, appeals, and challenges.  
While we were busy being the Egyptian Election “situation room”, there were other noteworthy things happening in the world.  Here’s a bit of other news that we’re interested in...

Finally, beyond 3W and this world...

The world’s rate of technological change is almost impossible to measure or keep up with -- and, yet this is the world that we are called to navigate as we share the Good News.  We’ve spoken on the blog previously about the unique tension that exists between trying to not be worldly and yet being relevant to the world.  But last week, we gained a new complication; we now have to begin to think “otherworld-ly”.  
Our kids just participated in an 80’s theme party.  We remember the 80’s well since we spent most of our school years in that decade -- so we went overboard in helping them to get ready (Grace got ‘best-dressed’).  In the process, we gave Titus a Walkman-style tape player and ear phones, and he asked, “What’s this!?!”  As it fell repeatedly while we walked, I told him how each year someone offered a newer “shock-resistant” model because of that.  Discussions on cassette tapes turned to computer memory (punch cards, to big magnetic tapes, to smaller cassette tapes, to floppy disks, to smaller disks, to CDs, to USB); think about that progression alone.  Watch “War Games” and see how slow, bulky, and clumsy “super computers” once worked -- they would have a hard time keeping up with a smart phone these days.  We put men on the moon with less processing power than was in the first Furby.
Well, governments put men on the moon--50+ years ago.  Today, we’re on the verge of anyone going to space.
We as a planet have officially crossed into the realm of commercial space travel.  Yes, the stuff of comic books and sci-fi movies is becoming a reality as SpaceX sent its Dragon capsule to the International Space Station last week.  This was not just a commercial delivery of necessary supplies, this also included passengers who paid for the trip--well, actually, the remains of would-be passengers.  That’s right, Celestis, Inc. subcontracted under  SpaceX to send the partial remains of 320 people at $2,995 per gram of remains.  These remains included those of actor James Doohan (who played Mr. Scott on the original “Star Trek” series).  These remains are set in a particular orbit around the Earth for a time before they will drift back into and burn up upon reentry of the atmosphere.
If this sounds too bizarre, it gets even more sci-fi as the eventual transport of actual live tourists to space is not too far in the future.  In this interview with billionaire tycoon Richard Branson (founder of Virgin Atlantic, Virgin Airways, and now Virgin Galactic), you hear first hand as they are preparing for such a booming industry.  If you’re wondering who could afford such a trip, wonder no further than Ashton Kutcher and Stephen Hawking!--seriously--but they are just 2 among the 550 people who have already paid $200,000 to be among the first.  Branson states “in the first year, we are planning to send more people into space than the combined total of the US and Russia” space exploration history.  
Branson, with the vision and foresight of someone insanely successful, states that the prices will surely come down as this new industry breeds competition--yes, as the interviewer states, “a new space race”.  And, Branson is likely to be right--the first trips are likely to be orbits around Earth, then there will be trips to the Space Station (you know US, Russia, and the other countries are already planning how to spend the entrance fees on improvements).  And if you think these guys are only thinking about getting people to space and back, then your vision is only reaching the horizon while there’s is squarely on Mars.  Years and years ago I read that McDonald’s had secured the rights to be the first restaurant on the moon.  And I’m sure with the soon to be booming trips to space, there’s going to be an international-galactic Hilton Resort complete with space-walks, romantic constellation-themed dinners, galactic golf, and Milky-Way pools.  

So, here’s the question--who will be the first pastor and church into space or the moon? (please don't tell me Osteen!)  While churches sometimes seem paralyzed to reach across the street, across town, or across a border -- are we preparing to reach the inhabitants on the other side of the atmosphere?
Not too far in the distant past, when it used to take months for a missionary family to reach a foreign field, a Methodist minister preached about the possibility of air travel and how that would pave the way for more consistent and expedient means of sharing the Gospel abroad.  He was chastised and labeled a blasphemer by Bishop Wright--but the seeds were planted in Bishops Wright’s sons.  You and I know them as Orville and Wilbur.  
We believe that Jesus will be returning soon--but what if His imminent return isn’t before we start space travel and moon colonization?  What if Branson and McDonald’s are right and we’re on the verge of doing things we used to only dream about?  Will the Church be paralyzed because of failure to dream and failure to take that leap beyond the reach of gravity? 
While we were pastoring the 6th Avenue Church of God and leading them to fully grasp and fulfill their vision to "Touch the World for Christ," Ben was one of the young men like Zach who were catching the vision and taking Mission trips.  In one conversation, in typical Ben style, he said, "What about beyond the Earth?  I mean, you've got us on this track to make Touching the World possible--are we ready to take this thing galactic?!?  Sign me up for Mars!"  
Ben, I didn't give you enough credit--you're right.  Sign me up, too.




In Other News: Part 2, Three-Worlds

The drama and official results of Egypt's first democratic election are still ongoing, and we'll return with more specifics as announcements are made later this week regarding potential candidates for a runoff, appeals, and challenges.  


While we were busy being the Egyptian Election "situation room", there were other noteworthy things happening in the world.  Here's a bit of other news that we're interested in...


New Teammates: In less serious, but also related to 3W news, we have new teammates coming on board!  Daniel and Christy Kihm of Anderson, Indiana will be serving (along with their soon to be born 1st child) in Holland doing some pretty cool collaboration with churches there and along the German border.  We are just getting to know the Kihm’s and we’re sure they’re gonna be great friends--but we already are quite familiar with our friends who will be officially working alongside of us in the United Kingdom: Zach and Audrey Langford.  Yep, our friends from Decatur, Alabama have been recruited and approved by Church of God Ministries to fulfill a similar and expanded role in Liverpool and in the region.  We officiated their wedding a couple years ago before they went through the partnership of our previous church (6th Avenue Church of God) to serve our friends in the Birkenhead Church of God (U.K.).  Zach had been on several mission trips with us, and Audrey grew up here in Maadi so she actually helped Jamie Nachtigall lead our sight visit last September.  Now they’re officially on the team--we’re looking forward to building a strong relationship with the Kihm’s as well.


Daniel and Christy
Zach and Audrey

In Other News: Part 1, Lebanon


The drama and official results of Egypt’s first democratic election are still ongoing, and we’ll return with more specifics as announcements are made later this week regarding potential candidates for a runoff, appeals, and challenges.  
While we were busy being the Egyptian Election “situation room”, there were other noteworthy things happening in the world.  Here’s a bit of other news that we’re interested in...
Syria’s troubles spill over into Lebanon.  This is not just a border issue as one might expect; there are miscellaneous outbursts of unrest and civil disobedience throughout Lebanon that seem to be growing more violent.  CNN reports these outbreaks have "prompted fears that renewed factional rivalries could erupt into outright warfare."  
This is obvious concern to us as we are sent to also encourage, support, resource, and serve as ambassadors of the larger Church to the believers and churches in Lebanon.  As a first step, Ken and Zeke are planning to be there at the end of August to share with their youth and young adult camp.  This invitation has opened the doors to relationship by correspondence.  In a reply to an email of encouragement to leaders there, General Assembly Chairman Rev. Joy Mallou shared, “There are threats on our stability and we pray that God gives political leaders wisdom.  The economic situation is very bad and there is fear of the what could happen.  As for us we trust God who is in control.”  Pray for the believers and their leaders in Lebanon; we will be paying a lot of attention to this in the days to come.


Friday, May 25, 2012

Election Report: 24 Hours Later...

The excuses have started to fill the headlines--no, not by candidates.  The excuses are coming in for how a "feloul" could be among the top two vote recipients in Egypt's first democratic election.
defaced Shafiq poster with "feloul" written over his name
"Feloul" is the Arabic transliteration for a term that means "remnant", referring to the remnants of the former Mubarak regime.  Amr Moussa and Ahmed Shafiq were hotly contested candidates going into the election, and until this week, most felt Moussa would make a strong run for the Presidency.

Moussa and Abouel Fotouh's nationally televised debate a couple of weeks ago, as the presumed leading candidates, appeared to harm both their chances as they merely belittled and accused one another.  Neither candidate looks to finish in the top three positions.

Click for CNN Report
The most polarizing candidate in this election, Ahmed Shafiq, may not only be in the top two candidates, he may be the top candidate when all the votes are tallied and announced.  As of current reports, about 100,000 votes separate he and Muslim Brotherhood candidate Mohamed Morsy--Cairo and Gaza polling stations are still unofficial as the counting process continues.  (Hamdeen Sabbahi is in third).

So how can this be?  1 year + after the revolution toppled the regime; after sweeping victories by Islamists in the Parliamentary elections; after multiple efforts to discredit and derail the campaigns of the "feloul";  after Shafiq had to end his campaign tour due to insulting shoes thrown at him during a speech, and then again on Wednesday chased from his polling place by a mob also throwing shoes?

How can Shafiq still be an option for President?


Well, that's what everyone is trying to figure out now as the excuses start rolling in:

  • Some blame the Coptic Church for directing their members to vote for Shafiq.  This obviously will not help interfaith relations if this excuse is continually fed to riotous revolutionaries.
  • Some blame the Muslim Brotherhood for such poor progress in their first few months in the Parliamentary leadership.
  • Some blame the various revolutionary parties for not banding together to give one unified candidate  to stand against the former regime and Islamist candidates.
  • Some blamed the media for daily telling how the revolution had led to declining security and economic conditions in Egypt.
  • Click for AlJazeera Report
  • Some blamed the tribal leaders in the rural areas for not encouraging the individuals in their tribes to vote.
  • UPDATE (5/26): "Shafiq accused of vote buying and threatening voters in Mansoura"
The rate of excuses may be faster than vote counting at this point.

And what now?

The Muslim Brotherhood versus the former Prime Minister?  We're still waiting for the official announcement.

Until then, continue to Pray for Egypt...

UPDATE 26 May:
The Divisive Runoff (Egypt Independent article)


Day After Elections Report: Morsy Versus Shafiq?



Morsy
Though official results are expected to be announced ahead of schedule on Sunday or Monday, the reports coming in indicate the likelihood of a run-off election for June 16-17.  Mohamed Morsy, the Muslim Brotherhood’s Freedom and Justice Party’s candidate, seems to be in the top 3 in all cities reporting.  This most likely ensures that he will be one of the two in an upcoming runoff election.
Morsy, self-proclaimed as “the only true Islamist in the race,” gained a lot of ground in the last week after leading the results of international absentee ballots.  This moved him from an after-thought to the top contender.  His surge in favor led to more attention to his words in recent rallies, which called for the implementation of Sharia law and reviewing the 1979 treaty with Israel.  
The presence of three non-Islamist candidates in this first round of elections appears to have not only split the vote, but maybe even ruined their chances of a victory in this first election.  Even if only 2 of Moussa, Shafiq, or Sabbahi were running, they would have fared better in the polls.  With all 3 in the running, cities where any of the 3 won did not do so by a large margin, and in many instances Morsy seems to have won the vote count with 2 of the non-Islamists falling in 2nd and 3rd.  For example, a noon report of 20 governorates reporting, states that Morsy held 28% of those votes; Shafiq followed with 21%, Sabbahi was in third with 20%, and Moussa was fourth with 12%.  Imagine if there were only 1 or 2 of the non-Islamist candidates.

Shafiq
Instead, according to Egypt Independent early this morning, “A Muslim Brotherhood official told Reuters this morning that Morsy will enter a run-off vote next month with Shafiq.  ‘It is clear that the run-off will be between Mohamed Morsy and Ahmed Shafiq,’ the official told Reuters. The group's governing body was meeting to determine campaign strategy for the run-off, scheduled for June 16 and 17, he said.  The official said that with votes counted from about 12,800 of the roughly 13,100 polling stations, Morsy had 25 percent, Shafiq 23 percent, Abouel Fotouh had 20 percent and Sabbahi 19 percent.  Reuters pointed out that official results are not due to be announced until next week...”.

Ahmed Shafiq, the former Mubarak appointed Prime Minister, may be the least likely to pull out a victory from the 3 non-Islamist candidates because of his ties in the previous Mubarak regime.  The Muslim Brotherhood’s Freedom and Justice Party attempted to ban such candidates through a Parliamentary motion.  Shafiq had shoes thrown at him after casting his vote on Wednesday, and had to cancel part of his last campaign trip due to such outbursts at one engagement.  If Shafiq’s mere participation in democratic process creates such riotous behavior, imagine what a victory would create!?!?

Moussa
Moussa, though a former spy-chief under Mubarak, had begun to distance himself prior to the revolution; however, many revolutionary youth movements still see him very much a part of the old-regime.  Sabbahi’s surge in popularity in the past couple weeks seems to have overtaken Moussa’s place as one of the top two contenders when just a few weeks ago when nearly everyone reported a 2-man race between he and Abouel Fotouh.  Meanwhile, Fotouh seems to have fallen dramatically under Morsy’s recent surge.

Sabbahi
Hamdeen Sabbahi may have just gained too little momentum too late--but the momentum he gained may have been too much for the hopes of a non-Islamic president by preventing either Shafiq or Moussa from faring more favorably in this first election.  Sabbahi’s excellent returns, particularly in Alexandria and along the Red Sea, may indicate that he would have been the better non-Islamist candidate to make a run for the Presidency.  His growth in popularity in this past week has trended far more favorably nationally than anyone could have expected.
Fotouh
It's hard to understand how Fotouh and Moussa could move so quickly from leading the headlines heading into this month to the bottom of the list.  Apparently, the diversity of opinion is far stronger across the nation than the  opinion polls in the population centers.  Not only was Fotouh overestimated in terms of Islamic population favor, so was Moussa's favor overestimated among those looking at non-Islamic candidates.  So much for the 2-man race that everyone anticipated after the Presidential Election Commission denied the candidacy of 10 hopefuls, including the Muslim Brotherhood's first candidate (Shater) and the Salafi candidate (Ismail).

The wildcard in the runoff election may very well be the Salafi vote.  Though they are the more fundamental of the Islamic population, the Salafis have been on the outs with the Muslim Brotherhood and have resented the Brotherhood's rise in power, as well as their superior attitude that has been repeatedly demonstrated against the Salafi political overtures.  Now, with the main Islamic candidate in a runoff coming directly from the Brotherhood, will the Salafi leaders get in the correct religious line, or will they seek to undermine the Brotherhood's hopes with a surprise switch in support to the rival?  If that rival is indeed Shafiq, such a rebellious switch would not be likely since Shafiq has such strong ties to the previous Mubarak regime.  If, hypothetically, Sabbahi has a swell of returns that catapult his dark-horse into the spotlight, then the Salafi's may be tempted.

Meanwhile, military and police forces are reported to be gathering near institutions and large city squares in case of riots by those objecting election results.  This further seems to indicate that either Shafiq or Moussa are going to be in the runoff election.  As previously reported in the past two blog posts, many youth revolutionary movements, as well as several Islamic groups, are strongly opposed to either Shafiq or Moussa being in the runoff election.  


Please, continue to pray for Egypt...


Thursday, May 24, 2012

Egypt Presidential Election Day 2 Results

Voters look for their name at a polling location.
(Photograph by Mahmoud Taha, copied from  Egypt Independent)
Across Egypt, polls were far less busy today on the 2nd Day of the Presidential Election.  Low voter turnout today had representatives and candidates making public appeals to get out and vote.  One man interviewed in the Sinai said that people in that region may not fully understand democracy and find themselves following patriarchal traditions that the say of the tribal leader is their vote.

Stories that we've seen throughout the day feature multiple reports of influence, coercion, and even bribes before the election and at the polling centers, including:
  • A supporter of Muslim Brotherhood candidate Morsy distributing meat, sugar, beans, lentils, and oil to voters
  • A supporter of Shafiq (former Prime Minister) distributing cash to voters near a polling center
  • A Coptic voter reported that her priest and monks gave instructions on Wednesday to vote for Shafiq
  • And multiple reports that the Freedom and Justice Party (Muslim Brotherhood) and supporters of Abouel Fotouh were using children to distribute literature with their pictures outside of polling centers.  This is illegal activity for polling centers on election days; naval personnel reportedly removed new posters from these candidates that were hung in the night at polling centers in Alexandria.  It is speculated that children were used because they would be less likely to be reported or arrested.
Another mid-afternoon report stated that a 72-year old gentleman collapsed outside of his polling center while looking for his name on the voters list.  He later died in the ambulance while en route to the hospital.

There were a few handicapped and wheel-chair bound citizens who could not access their polling area.

In protest to shortages of bread and butane cylinders, citizens in two Upper Egypt towns near Assuit are boycotting the election for the second day.

Candidates Moussa and Shafiq, who many feel are attempting to appeal to the same demographics, exchanged jabs via their campaigns' official Twitter accounts today.  Apparently, Moussa's campaign stated they were waiting for Shafiq to officially withdraw today to boost his chances.  Shafiq's campaign replied through their Twitter account, "It seems that Mr. Amr Moussa is suffering from electoral hallucinations."

Some reports of violence have occurred the past couple days.  Today, a pair of Shafiq supporters were treated for wounds after a verbal altercation with Morsy supporters turned violent with rocks, sticks, and eventually swords!  A Foutouh supporter filed complaints and reports with a police department for head injuries he suffered at the hands of Morsy supporters outside of a polling location.

What about the results?
The polls will remain open until 9 pm this evening.  All incomplete ballots will be sealed in a box and transported by military personnel as a safeguard against voting fraud during the counting process.  The counting process of cast ballots will begin this evening at each polling location in the presence of representatives of each candidate, media members, and select NGO representatives.

Members of various youth revolutionary groups have begun a sit-in in Tahrir Square until the announcement of the results of the election.  Their goal, according to reports, is to be a visible warning to the military to not interfere with the will of the people or to try to corrupt the election by letting someone affiliated with Mubarak win.

The last part of that goal is consistent with ongoing statements by various groups that say they will protest a victory by either Shafiq or Moussa (both served parts of the former Mubarak government).  Moussa was asked about these sentiments this evening and replied, "When the people vote, those who go against the will of the people are wrong."

According to an unofficial exit poll announced about 8 pm, which is likely to be widely debated, the results of todays voters have been much closer:
Morsy 26%
Moussa 25%
Shafiq 18%
Sabbahi 12%
Foutouh 10%

If yesterday and today's exit polls are remotely correct, then it is not likely that any of the 11 candidates captured 51+% of the vote in this election.  As a result, a runoff election would be held on June 16-17 between the top two candidates; again, if the exit polls are correct, then that would be a vote for Egyptians  between Morsy and Moussa.

But we will have to await the official declaration from the Elections Commission.  As soon as we see/hear that report, we will post the news here.


Continue to pray for Egypt...

Egypt Presidential Election Day 1 Results

(Picture from Egypt Independent)
Egyptians dip their index finger in the ink, then place their fingerprint
in the box of their chosen candidate.
The ink stains the finger and prevents return trips to the polls.
As you can see on the ballot, there are several candidates,
each indicated by their name (right column),
their party or personal symbol, then their picture.
There are no official results, but election officials estimate that nearly 60 percent of voters showed up for the first of the two day voting period.  The lines were excessively long in various polling places; we spoke with one Egyptian Christian who waited more than 2 hours to cast his vote.  The polls officially closed at 9:00 pm, but according to reports, anyone in line at that time would be allowed to vote tonight.

The unofficial exit polls that were reported tonight showed these widely debated placements of candidates:
1. Morsy (Muslim Brotherhood candidate)
2. Moussa (secularist, former Foreign Minister)
3. Aboul Fotouh (Islamist, former MB member)
4. Sabbahi (independent, Nasserist)
5. Shafiq (former Mubarak appointed Prime Minister)

From the reports that we're seeing, many Christians have their votes split among Moussa and Shafiq.  Such a split fills the Christian minority with a lot of anxiety as another day of polling awaits.  Muslim Brotherhood candidate Morsy and former Brotherhood leader Fotouh have shown strong support across the country in the past week--a split could among Moussa, Sabbahi, and Shafiq could lead to an all Islamist ballot for the runoff next month.

There were clashes reported at polls between Moussa and Morsy supporters, and another that got violent with knives between supporters of Fotouh and Moussa.

Shafiq may have had the worst day--not because of his place in the exit polls, but because after voting, he was pelted by thrown shoes by the crowds (a sign of disrespect and insult here in the Middle East).  Shafiq reportedly replied after the incident, "Difference of opinion should not turn to insult."

It shouldn't--that's the goal of democracy and the freedom of expression--but it is not always the case; Shafiq and Egypt are learning that the hard way in this quest for democracy.

Continue to pray for Egypt; we will make another post tomorrow evening.


"What brings you freedom is not the freedom to choose--it's the choices you make in freedom that determine if you will be free." ~ Erwin Raphael McManus (pastor, author)


Wednesday, May 23, 2012

Parody and Politics


The kids are out of school for the next couple days, for the election (see below), giving them a four day weekend.  Last night, we attended an end of the year party for the youth group of the local community Church that Titus and Grace are now attending.  (Titus bumps up to Middle School youth during the summer activities, while Grace moves up to High School youth.)  The end of the year party is a bit early because there are so many different school schedules holding finals over the next month, graduations, and release for summer break, so they do one big bash now and then a few things over the summer since many return to home countries for break.

The Maadi Community Church Youth Bashapalooza was a family event that featured a welcome to incoming 8th graders into the H.S. group, 5th graders like Titus were invited but not recognized, but the focus of the evening was on the 6 graduating seniors, all of whom had spent many years in Egypt and in the youth group.  4 of the 6 will return to the states for various college options, 1 will go back to her native Holland, and the other will remain in Egypt.  As with all farewell to Senior moments, there was the wonderful bittersweet moments of appreciation and memories shared.  A few tribute videos were played of all the youth in the past year of events, as well as of just the seniors.  But the highlight of the evening was a parody video with the youth counselors and youth pastor (GJ) saying, "Bye, Bye, Bye" to the seniors.  I've witnessed a bajillion such videos through the years of youth ministry and i rolled my eyes when this clip started to play--by the end, I was crying from laughter--I watched it again this morning and I was still crying because I was laughing so hard.  The humor is not in the staging, or the resurrected dance moves that need to be forgotten, nor in the other typical parody video moments -- no, what's comic genius is the youth counselor (Chris) who just drifts or stands throughout the video awkwardly.  His "participation" is hilarious!


(You can see other videos at the Maadi Community Youth Facebook page or search for them on YouTube).

-------------------------MEANWHILE-----------------------

Today and tomorrow, May 23 - 24, Egypt's 50 million+ citizens will cast their votes in the first Presidential election following the January 25, 2011 Revolution that lead to the ouster of Hosni Mubarak. There had been an "election" years ago that led to a sweeping Mubarak victory, but most feel that election was rigged and staged as an appeasement to pro-democracy supporters.  Mubarak is still very much in the news today, actually receiving some votes as a write-in candidate from citizens abroad, and having a ruling in his favor that says he is eligible to vote.

Of course, no one is expecting a Mubarak victory this week.  Who will be the next Egyptian President?  No one knows, and few feel confident to even field a guess.  There were 13 candidates to choose from after 10 were disqualified by the Elections Commission; 2 withdrew recently, but their names will remain on the ballot, which means they are likely to receive some votes despite their withdrawal.

Prior to this week, the media and most felt it was a 2 man race between former physician & Muslim Brotherhood activist Abouel Fotouh, and Amr Moussa who is a 'secularist,' former Arab League chairman, & former Foreign Minister under Mubarak.  The two were even featured in a recent debate.

Amr Moussa had seemed to be the leading non-Islamist candidate, but many Christians and secularists were torn between him and former Prime Minister Ahmed Shafiq, and worried that splitting their vote between the 2 would just lead to greater numbers for the Islamist candidates.

To further complicate things and continue splitting the vote, a third candidate began making strides in the past couple weeks .  Hamdeen Sabbahi has surged as a non-Islamist candidate who does not have ties to the former regime and his gained in popularity among the working classes.

The Islamists candidates also worry about vote splitting.  Abouel Fotouh seemed to have this election wrapped up once Salafi (Muslim fundamentalist) supporters started lining up behind him last month.  His anti-Israel rhetoric in & since the debate with Moussa created some concerns throughout the country.  Early returns from the Egyptian absentee ballots collected internationally showed him leading, as well, but the final tallies showed that the largest percentage were awarded to new Muslim Brotherhood candidate Mohamed Morsy, with more than 30%.

This surprise support from Morsy catapulted him back into contender status after being relegated to an afterthought in recent weeks.  The new absentee support led to a lot of citizens jumping back on the Muslim Brotherhood bandwagon and turning out to a Cairo rally a couple nights ago where Morsy spoke for over an hour.  Morsy had made statements in recent weeks that "there was no such thing as an Islamic democracy" and that the goal of the party was for democracy; however, in the rally, he seemed to fall back to previous Muslim Brotherhood platforms that "Islam is the answer," and Sharia law being the goal for Egypt.

All that to say, there are no longer any clear front-runners and with the polls open, the leadership and direction of Egypt now rests on each ballot cast by the Egyptian citizens.  With the potential of so much vote splitting, the likelihood of a runoff now seems evident -- the top two candidates from today and tomorrow will appear on a new ballot June 16-17 for the final decision.  The hope of Christians throughout the country has been that one of those two will be a non-Islamist candidate.

PRAY for Egypt today and tomorrow...

Saturday, May 19, 2012

More Than the Weather Heating Up in Cairo


The beautiful blooms of Flame Trees have brightened the city.

In the last 2 weeks, the Flame Trees have bloomed, signaling the start of summer here in Cairo.  These beautiful blossoms have 5 main petals, with 4 that are a deep red-orange and the 5th that is speckled with the red-orange, yellow, and white.  It seems something blooms each week here in Cairo, but the brilliant change from green to orange across the tree tops has been amazing.

And with those blooms, the temperatures began to rise into the 30's C, which is upper 80's-90's F.  It is hot from 9 am to 3 pm as the air feels like an oven.  Yet, the early morning hours are wonderfully cool with strong breezes, and the afternoon cools off quickly too allowing the evenings to be pleasant as well.  We run the air conditioners during the day when we are home, but we have the windows open throughout the villas to allow the morning and evening breezes to sweep through.

It's also election time here in Egypt--the revolution from more than a year ago has been pointing to this week with the hopes of electing a new leader to help guide this country from what was to what will be.  There are so many competing hopes and ideals with about 10 candidates still actively campaigning for votes.  And, as you might expect, the campaigning has become a bit tense and negative.  Here are a few links to what is happening now...
The elections are this Wednesday and Thursday, May 23 and 24.  The kids school has been cancelled for these 2 days, and we're sure there will be warnings from the State Department to watch out for potential unrest.  If the previous elections are any indication, the days of election should not be that bad--it's the days after that may create protests or even riots depending on the outcome.  

Presidential candidates are not the only ones making controversial statements in an attempt to stand out and gain support.  The Coptic are also in the process of narrowing candidates to be their next Pope.  One Bishop being considered, Bishoy, recently made the statement that "I call on Christian girls to learn from veiled Muslim women their modesty. Some Christian women might be displeased with me, but the Virgin Mary, St. Demiana and the nuns wore modest clothes.".  This led to 100's of Coptic women outside the Papal residency protesting and asking the acting Pope to make a statement to correct the Bishop.  You can read that story here.

This obviously is a time to be praying for Egypt.

Thursday, May 17, 2012

Sport and Revolution

I love games.  I would use games with youth ministry not as a filler or a way to "warm-up" the teens for a message--I would use games because I could learn more about a teen or adult in playing a game for 5 minutes than I could in 5 discussions.  While people are hiding behind their own walls in a discussion, people reveal themselves in a game because they're competing.

I love sports.  Sports are different than games--sports are not just about having fun & winning once, but winning all the time, every time.  Sport is about conquest--there are clear lines of loyalty and enmity.  Sport creates fanatics, which is quite similar to lunatics, and the intensity of fanaticism can escalate from slander, to harm, to tragedy within moments.  Yet, sport also has the amazing ability to unify, heal, and create opportunities for change.  The old ABC "Wide World of Sports" oft-quoted introduction line, "the thrill of victory and the agony of defeat" is the universally-identified paradox that exists in and through sport.

Despite my love of sport and our ongoing education about Egypt (including the revolution and the political changes), I had not connected sport (football, a.k.a. soccer) and the revolution.  But, according to this article and things that we've seen transpiring in the past several months, sport (football) has been very much at the heart of the revolution.

The article below is written by Wayne Drehs as a part of the "ESPN the Magazine" and "ESPN Outside the Lines".  There are actually 2 articles and a video -- none of which that I can embed into this post -- but I'm giving the links here, and I will attempt to copy the second article for you to read here.  This is not in any way attempted to be plagiarize Drehs' excellent work--this is well done and I think it ought to read and processed by those of you supporting or curious about our work in Egypt.

The pictures inserted below in the copied article are from Google image searches.
banner atop Wayne Drehs article "Soccer in the Storm"
also read "The Crucible in Cairo" also by Drehs (copied and pasted below)
see video "Bob Bradley in Egypt" (interview regarding life in Egypt at this time) 

The crucible in Cairo

Bob Bradley moved to a country in turmoil and found his way with its biggest star

Updated: May 16, 2012, 5:39 PM ET
By Wayne Drehs | ESPN The Magazine
This story appears in the May 28 World Football Issue of ESPN The Magazine. Subscribe today!
the riot in Port Said
THE BOY IS DYING. He lies on his back on squares of sparkling white tile in the Al Ahly locker room, fighting for every last second. Mohamed Aboutrika, the most beloved player in Egyptian soccer, rushes to him, kneels down and takes the boy in his arms.
A postgame riot has brought the two together. The chaos on this February night in Port Said began moments after the match between Cairo's Al Ahly and its rival, Al Masry, as fans set upon one another with rocks, broken bottles and knives. When the stadium lights mysteriously flickered off, the riot police chose to stand by. The result will be the most gruesome tragedy in Egyptian soccer history: 74 dead. A thousand-plus injured. Millions outraged.
wounded boy returning to Cairo
Some of the wounded rush to the Al Ahly locker room for help. It soon resembles a MASH unit: Injured and dying are everywhere, at players' lockers and in the hall. The dead lie on the floor amid duffel bags and dirty socks.
At the center of it all is Aboutrika. Al Ahly is Egypt's version of the Yankees; Aboutrika is Derek Jeter, an aging superstar who commands respect, a hero to fans. The dying boy on the sparkling white tile is one of them. He wants to see Aboutrika, touch him, so the player leans closer as the astonished boy says, "Captain."

A FEW MONTHS EARLIER, in a well-furnished Cairo office, a group of coaches mentions Aboutrika's name over and over. They are trying to decide whether he fits on Egypt's national team. The eyes in the room keep returning to Bob Bradley.
In 2010, Bradley coached the U.S. to the round of 16 at the World Cup, but he couldn't build on that success and was dismissed in July 2011. He then agreed to the unthinkable: to become the national coach in postrevolution Egypt. The jarring nature of the transition is as obvious as the 12 nails that still poke out of Bradley's Cairo office wall, nails that once held photos of ousted president Hosni Mubarak posing with Egyptian teams of the past.
Bradley and his staff want to add to the roster for a friendly against Brazil, Bradley's first match coaching Egypt. One decision, they know, will carry more weight than any other.
A 33-year-old attacking midfielder, the man known as the Smiling Assassin, Aboutrika is unlike most any other professional athlete. Cerebral, with a philosophy degree, Aboutrika once took a pay cut rather than earn more than a teammate he felt was equally valuable. In 2008, he became an Arab world hero when, after scoring in the Africa Cup of Nations, he lifted his jersey to reveal a shirt that read, "Sympathize with Gaza." His motive wasn't anti-Israeli or anti-Zionist, he would later say, just a public plea to stop ignoring a place plagued by poverty. Aboutrika received a yellow card for the display, and the Confederation of African Football scolded the move, but millions of others loved it, with one Egyptian columnist referring to him as a "noble knight."
Egyptian assistant coach Zak Abdel says that a year ago, when hundreds of thousands of protesters gathered in Cairo's Tahrir Square to overthrow Mubarak, the government begged Aboutrika to tell everyone to go home. He refused and instead went to the square the day Mubarak resigned.
"If he would have done what he was asked, there probably wouldn't have been a revolution," Abdel says. "People have that much respect for him."
Cerebral, with a philosophy degree, Aboutrika once took a pay cut rather than earn more than a teammate he felt was equally valuable.
On the field, Aboutrika is the beating heart of an Egypt squad that won an unprecedented three straight Africa Cup of Nations titles, in 2006, 2008 and 2010. Bradley had personally witnessed his role at the 2009 Confederations Cup in South Africa, when the U.S. beat Egypt 3-0. "I knew he was a player they relied on," Bradley says. "A player whose pure ability at certain moments to make the right choice, the right pass, the right play, made the difference."
But Aboutrika is older now. The talk in Bradley's office is of a need to develop younger players. Aboutrika is a born leader, they agree, but a calf injury has limited him to just three starts in Al Ahly's first six matches of the season, and his play was pedestrian. The more Bradley and his coaches talk, the more they think Aboutrika doesn't belong. When Bradley releases the roster, Aboutrika's name isn't on it.
The country goes into a state of shock: Is its hero done? Every media personality wants to know why Bradley left Aboutrika off the lineup.
"I understood he had been an important player," Bradley says. "But this was a group that made sense."
Aboutrika is crushed. He had dreamed of taking his country to the World Cup, and 2014 likely will be his last chance. He spends the first day after the news alone, fishing. The next day, when he emerges and the media shove cameras and tape recorders in his face, he praises Bradley and insists it is on himself to improve.
But in the days and weeks that follow, Bradley begins to second-guess his decision. He listens as other players gush about Aboutrika's leadership. He walks the streets of Cairo, where nearly every fan he meets, from taxi drivers to schoolchildren, pleads with him: "Aboutrika! Aboutrika! Must have Aboutrika!" During this stretch, Aboutrika's play improves. Seven days after New Year's, he comes on at the half of an Al Ahly match against German giant Bayern Munich and slices a pass through a trio of defenders that sets up an equalizing goal. The more Bradley considers it, the more he believes he has made a mistake.
On the evening of Feb. 1, Bradley sits before the television in his Cairo apartment to watch Al Ahly's match against Al Masry in Port Said. He keeps an eye on Aboutrika; Bradley plans to meet him in the coming days to talk about the national team.

THE UNQUESTIONED KING of African soccer, Al Ahly has won six CAF championships to go with 36 Egyptian Premier League titles. In 2007, with Egypt slipping into political turmoil, a faction of Al Ahly's most diehard fans established themselves as the Ultras Ahlawy. Antigovernment sentiment was soaring, and the Ultras Ahlawy ranks swelled with young men looking to release their frustrations. Soon the dual causes of supporting Al Ahly and ending Mubarak's reign were inseparable. "Down with the regime," they chanted in the stands. Throughout Cairo, they spray-painted "ACAB" or "All Cops Are Bastards." On Jan. 25, 2011, a holiday commemorating national police forces, the Ultras Ahlawy joined with fans of crosstown rival Zamalek SC, known as the Ultras White Knights, to march together in a violent protest of Mubarak. Two days later, the Egyptian government suspended the Premier League season to keep club supporters from congregating against it. Still, during riots of the Arab Spring, the Ultras Ahlawy provided the muscle, again standing foremost with the Ultras White Knights to fight Mubarak security forces in Cairo's Tahrir Square.
Against that backdrop, the Ultras Ahlawy came to Port Said on the first of February. Before the match, one Al Masry fan wrote online that Al Ahly's supporters should just buy one-way tickets: They wouldn't be returning home. Another fan went on Facebook and said that the Al Ahly faithful should be sure to leave a will for their mothers. Such rhetoric -- usually quelled by ever-present security forces -- is common in Egypt. What happened next is not.
Watching on television, Bradley senses something isn't right with the match. Aboutrika seems distracted -- the whole Al Ahly team does. During pregame, Al Masry fans had shot fireworks at the Al Ahly players. After each of Al Masry's three goals, fans invade the pitch and have to be ordered back.
January 25 revolution began with soccer fans?
When the final whistle blows on Al Masry's 3-1 win, thousands of those fans jump onto the field and sprint toward the Al Ahly players and supporters. The players bolt for the locker room. Behind them, the match's riot police stand aside as the attackers climb into the stands and go after Al Ahly's fans. Some of them fight; others flee. Moments later, the stadium lights go dark. The Al Ahly supporters desperately trying to escape find the gate at the nearest exit inexplicably welded shut.
In the ensuing panic, fans trample one another. They hurl themselves against the closed gate, suffocating those already pressed against it. The thugs force Al Ahly fans up to the stadium's top row, where they jump or are thrown over the edge. Without knowing whom to trust, many of the injured seek refuge in the Al Ahly locker room. Doctors and trainers pour water on the faces of those who are unconscious, hoping to revive them. When they can't, the doctors lay the dead where space allows. Players wander around the room, some crying, others comforting the injured.
Aboutrika is furious. "This is not football," he yells in Arabic during a phone interview on the team's television channel. "This is a war. People are dying in front of us. There is no security and no ambulances. I call for the Premier League to be canceled. This is a horrible situation, and today can never be forgotten."
I have no doubt that this was not spontaneous and not coincidencebut it got totally out of hand. I don't think anybody planned to kill 74 people.
-- James Dorsey
Soon a dying boy, 14 years old, is rushed into the locker room. He made the trip from Cairo to support his favorite club and to see his favorite player. He gasps for breath on the sparkling white tiles as Aboutrika comes over and cradles him.
"Captain, I've spent my life dying to meet you," the boy tells Aboutrika. "And now that I've met you, I know it is my time to die."
Aboutrika encourages the boy to repeat the Shahada, the Muslim testament of faith that declares an unquestioned belief in God and Muhammad. The boy does and a short time later stops breathing, still in Aboutrika's arms.

THE NEXT MORNING, the Egyptian Football Association suspends its Premier League season, eventually canceling it. Every member of the federation board -- the men who hired Bob Bradley -- resigns. Bradley and his wife, Lindsay, tell their families they're safe, but the riot affects the coach. "I've never seen him like that before," says Abdel, a longtime assistant to Bradley. "He was shocked. He didn't talk much. They said the number of dead on the TV, and he just shook his head." Adds Bradley: "It was a tragedy. So many young people losing their lives at a football match." Some media reports suggest the riot is only a case of brutal fan violence. Others hint at a government conspiracy, proposing that the country's military rulers engineered the attack with the goal of undermining the Ultras and destroying their fearsome reputation with Egyptian revolutionaries.
"I have no doubt in my mind that this was not spontaneous and not coincidence -- but it also got totally out of hand," James Dorsey, an academician and author of the blog the Turbulent World of Middle East Soccer, will say later. "I don't think anybody planned that they were going to kill 74 people." The day after the riot, Bradley marches with thousands in Sphinx Square to honor the victims. He and Lindsay donate an undisclosed amount of his salary to the grieving families. Then they join Abdel and other coaches for a memorial service at the Al Ahly headquarters. That's when they see Aboutrika.
He looks wounded, his gaze distant. Bradley and Abdel approach him; this is the first time Bradley has spoken to Aboutrika since accepting the job. But no one wants to discuss football. Aboutrika tells Bradley and Abdel that he wishes this nightmare weren't real.
"His mind just wasn't there," Abdel recalls. "It was like he was in a coma."
For the next couple of weeks, Aboutrika doesn't answer his cellphone; there are rumors that he has retired. He travels the country, attending as many of the funerals and visiting as many of the victims' families as he can. In March, on Egypt's Mother's Day, he hosts the families of all 74 victims -- more than 250 people -- at his home. He says he's committed to keeping in touch with those who lost loved ones.
"It is very hard to have young people die between your hands," Aboutrika says through an interpreter. "It's very difficult. All I could think about was how I could help these families and what I could do to help the people who had lost someone in this tragedy."
More than three weeks after Port Said, Al Ahly returns to the field, and Aboutrika rejoins the team. Though the domestic season has been canceled, there are still international matches to prepare for. One day Bradley visits practice to meet with club officials and shake the hands of players. After a few weeks pass, Bradley quietly reaches out to Aboutrika to ask whether they can talk. Aboutrika agrees to a meeting in Bradley's Cairo apartment. "I will come to you, Coach," he says in Arabic.
Though Aboutrika understands English, the meeting is held in his native tongue. Abdel translates; Bradley senses that the player is nervous. But Aboutrika's message is clear: If Bradley wants to pick him for the national team because of public pressure, forget it. He isn't interested. But if Bradley thinks he can help the team, he wants nothing more than to again take the field for his country.
Bradley says he has given the decision a lot of thought. He'd love him for his team. The meeting ends with a hug.

first practice
ON MARCH 29, Aboutrika takes the field for the first time under Bradley's orders, in a friendly against Uganda. The match is played in Sudan because the Egyptian government refuses to secure games in Egypt. In the 92nd minute, with the game tied 1-1, Aboutrika connects on a cross, rises above a Ugandan defender and rockets a header past the diving keeper for a goal. Egypt 2, Uganda 1. A nation watching on television erupts in celebration.
In the locker room after the game, everyone smiles. This goal, on this night, is enough to momentarily veil the past and the daunting on-field challenges ahead: matches in June that begin a string of World Cup and Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers. Abdel walks over to Aboutrika and puts his hand on the midfielder's shoulder.
"Trika," Abdel says. "You needed this goal."
Aboutrika grins.
"Yes, Coach," he says in Arabic. "That's exactly how I feel."
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